EE Chats 2142

2020-04-14 09:13:29

#976

Pochsy: Artifice of Eternity; +702|5759|Toronto

These are all great suggestions and warnings, thanks guys. Maybe when COVID-19 settles and I have the confidence to sit on a long haul flight again I'll make this happen.

The shape of an eye in front of the ocean, digging for stones and throwing them against its window pane. Take it down dreamer, take it down deep. - Other Families

2020-04-14 09:16:23

#977

SuperJail Warden: Gone Forever; +640|3936

COVID-19 will never pass. We will all be living underground and sending Bruce Willis back in time to stop that one guy from eating a bat.

2020-04-14 09:19:10

#978

uziq: Member; +493|3668

i don't think anyone is expecting it to ever pass. it'll be like flu, a yearly managed thing that the majority of people will be well-inoculated against.

2020-04-14 09:46:18

#979

KEN-JENNINGS: I am all that is MOD!; +2,978|6848|949

I expect most companies with international footprints will keep and expand existing screening policies and/or adopt new measures to limit future exposure. Something 10x as deadly as the flu will be a major factor in how companies do international business. Mandatory coronavirus vaccines for international travel will be implemented by some governments and businesses with varying levels of enforcement.

2020-04-14 12:40:25

#980

SuperJail Warden: Gone Forever; +640|3936

Requiring vaccination records in order to get a passport would probably be a good reform. It would never get passed here in the U.S. though.

2020-04-14 12:51:51

#981

Jay: Bork! Bork! Bork!; +2,006|5574|London, England

I feel bad for native Arizonans. All the anti-vaxxers are fleeing to there because they don't require vaccination records for kindergarten.

"Ah, you miserable creatures! You who think that you are so great! You who judge humanity to be so small! You who wish to reform everything! Why don't you reform yourselves? That task would be sufficient enough."
-Frederick Bastiat

2020-04-14 12:53:29

#982

uziq: Member; +493|3668

jay hates anti-vaxxers but thinks epidemiologists should stfu and let trump talk during a pandemic.

you
c a n n o t
make it up.

2020-04-14 12:54:52

#983

uziq: Member; +493|3668

the problem with experts, right, is that they’re too limited.

why should some scientist dictate if my child has an injection? are they politicians? are they leaders of men?

2020-04-14 12:57:13

#984

Jay: Bork! Bork! Bork!; +2,006|5574|London, England

uziq wrote:
the problem with experts, right, is that they’re too limited.

why should some scientist dictate if my child has an injection? are they politicians? are they leaders of men?

Oh, I dunno, maybe because the efficacy of vaccines has been empirically shown over the course of a century and a half... vs a group of academics playing with flawed projection systems... hmm...

"Ah, you miserable creatures! You who think that you are so great! You who judge humanity to be so small! You who wish to reform everything! Why don't you reform yourselves? That task would be sufficient enough."
-Frederick Bastiat

2020-04-14 13:01:17

#985

KEN-JENNINGS: I am all that is MOD!; +2,978|6848|949

I don't disagree with synthesizing technical messages in order to create policy. The problem is that there was no coherent policy being created, so the default position is to go to the experts.

It's a bit misaligned to say the problem is that the scientists are speaking directly to the people when the person responsible for processing that information is utterly incoherent and incapable of doing much beyond dementia method acting.

2020-04-14 13:06:40

#986

Jay: Bork! Bork! Bork!; +2,006|5574|London, England

KEN-JENNINGS wrote:
I don't disagree with synthesizing technocratic messages in order to create policy. The problem is that there was no coherent policy being created, so the default position is to go to the experts.

It's a bit misaligned to say the problem is that the scientists are speaking directly to the people when the person responsible for processing that information is utterly incoherent and incapable of doing much beyond dementia method acting.

Agreed, but assuming that experts can actually create reasonable policy is too much of a stretch. Theory, when applied to people, usually doesn't work. There are just too many variables.

Last edited by Jay (2020-04-14 13:09:39)

"Ah, you miserable creatures! You who think that you are so great! You who judge humanity to be so small! You who wish to reform everything! Why don't you reform yourselves? That task would be sufficient enough."
-Frederick Bastiat

2020-04-14 13:22:56

#987

uziq: Member; +493|3668

epidemiology is all about dealing with human populations. i swear to god you haven't fundamentally understood that epidemiology and virology are different.

want to know how south korea and taiwan got on top of coronavirus immediately? BECAUSE EPIDEMIOLOGISTS HAD STUDIED SARS!

2020-04-14 13:35:29

#988

SuperJail Warden: Gone Forever; +640|3936

It would have made such a big difference if the federal government just turned on the money printer and bought all of the supplies to give away. Then just keep depositing stimulus money in every taxpayers account each month. Such low effort and cost response that would have bought a lot of good will for the adminstration. I haven't a clue why they just don't do that.

Instead they are worried about disincentizing work and making sure the "right people" get the money. That's pure ideology put into practice.

2020-04-14 13:37:08

#989

uziq: Member; +493|3668

also data science and machine learning is at such a point that it's actually quite easy to predict human behaviour, taken en masse. considering humans as simple vectors of disease with variables like population density, humidity, ingress/egress of disease, etc. is very easy to model. i don't know why you have this semi-mystical notion that a human being is some inscrutable actor, as if every single person in NYC is on the verge of picking up a gun, shooting an arab on a sun-struck beach, and then writing a novella about it. epidemiologists have been developing computer models for the movement of human populations and the spread of disease for the entire history of the discipline.

https://i.pinimg.com/736x/91/b5/04/91b504d65638ee9243a6896b8fa6c03f.jpg

we have already discussed ad nauseam how epidemiologists are able to derive an 'r0-value' for pathogens, essentially estimating how many people will contract a contagious disease from each person.

have you even heard of random forest classifiers? particle swarm optimization algorithms?

did you know that human crowds adopt fluid mechanics behaviour? impossible to guess where people will walk!!! there is just no way that city planners can design these things!

'experts can't use theory to predict human behaviour', says jay, posting from a phone on which every single app has been designed with some aspect of behavioural theory or data science in mind. says jay, who gleans his news from blogsites and facebook feeds that predictively siphon and sift and arrange stories according to the likelihood of him clicking. it's impossible!

did you take anything above trig at college?
http://groups.csail.mit.edu/EVO-DesignO … M_2015.pdf

Last edited by uziq (2020-04-14 13:43:52)

2020-04-14 13:54:49

#990

SuperJail Warden: Gone Forever; +640|3936

Don't listen to these cucks, Jay. Take your wife out on a date to your favorite Jewish deli. Ride the subway the make sure to hold onto the railings tightly.

2020-04-14 14:57:34

#991

Dilbert_X: The X stands for; +1,813|6322|eXtreme to the maX

Jay wrote:
Experts are stupid, what we need is a stable genius to take the big decisions

OK Jay.

Fuck Israel

2020-04-14 18:28:55

#992

Pochsy: Artifice of Eternity; +702|5759|Toronto

chuyskywalker wrote:
It is time to say adieu to the last vestiges BF⅔S. The site will be 10 years old on 2015-07-29 (according to my reg date) and it is time to let it wander off into that deep land of internet yesterdays.

Remember how sad a day it was when this got posted?

The shape of an eye in front of the ocean, digging for stones and throwing them against its window pane. Take it down dreamer, take it down deep. - Other Families

2020-04-14 20:32:59

#993

Adams_BJ: Russian warship, go fuck yourself; +2,054|6839|Little Bentcock

Thanks for flashback, jerk. That was my personal 'nam, man.

2020-04-15 11:26:00

#994

Jay: Bork! Bork! Bork!; +2,006|5574|London, England

First beam is up.

"Ah, you miserable creatures! You who think that you are so great! You who judge humanity to be so small! You who wish to reform everything! Why don't you reform yourselves? That task would be sufficient enough."
-Frederick Bastiat

2020-04-15 14:01:51