Jay wrote:
SuperJail Warden wrote:
Jay wrote:
If the subsidies go away colleges will be forced to lower tuition. Amazingsauce
A lot of them would just close too. Colleges need subsidies.
No, they just need to cut all the superfluous administrative positions they've staffed during this bubble.
who likes facts? I like facts!
this paper by the NBER is a very informative read. It's 60 pages but it's not TOO difficult to get through. Some key points (bolding mine):
From 1987 to 2010, sticker price tuition and fees ballooned from $6,600 to $14,500 in 2010 dollars. After subtracting institutional aid, net tuition and fees still grew by 78%, from $5,790 to $10,290. To provide perspective, had net tuition risen at the rate of much maligned healthcare costs, tuition would have only reached about $8,700 in 2010.
Overall education spending has GONE DOWN on a per student basis, mostly because of the increase in attendees-
state and local funding for higher education fell from $8,200 per full-time-equivalent (FTE) student in 1987 to $7,300 in 2010, all while underlying costs and expenditures were rising. Several studies, including a notable study commissioned by Congress in the 1998 re-authorization of the Higher Education Act, attribute a sizable fraction of the increase in public university tuition to these state funding cuts.
So although overall Education spending has risen, more people attending college means the ratio of funding:student has gone down. Interest rates for student loans have also fallen, making it more attractive (which bolsters the point above).
Also, non-tuition costs have risen by over 50% since 1987-
we also cast light on the tuition impact of the 53% rise in non-tuition costs (such as those arising from the greater provision of student amenities), which has the effect of increasing subsidized loan eligibility.
It's not just administrative costs that are increasing - loans are covering more student amenities, and those amenities are increasing in cost, which leads to overall costs being higher.
Here's the summary:
1. The combined effect of the aforementioned shocks generates a 106% increase in equilibrium tuition. This result compares to a 78% increase in the data.
2. The rise in the college earnings premium alone causes tuition to increase by 24%. With all other shocks present except the college premium hike, tuition increases by 87%.
3. The demand-side shocks by themselves cause tuition to jump by 102%. With all other changes except the demand-side shocks, tuition only increases by 16%.
4. The supply-side shocks by themselves cause tuition to decline by 6%. With all other changes except the supply-side shocks, tuition increases by 122%.
I was genuinely intrigued by the question "what is the major cause of college tuition hikes" so I looked into it. It looks to be complicated, but generally speaking, admin costs are not a key contributing factor.