Dilbert_X wrote:
Sure, but no-one can say these vaccines - new and untested vaccine technology for a novel virus for which there has never been a vaccine - are wholly without risk. That would be a world-first.
And I'm sure the Russian and Chinese vaccines are flaky as fuck.
We're exchanging one set of somewhat known risks for another set of unknown risks.
amazing. 'without risk'.
we do understand the risks of the vaccines, by administering millions of them across the widest genetic test pool pretty much ever utilised for a vaccine.
is there still a risk of 'unforeseen' consequences? well, in about the same way as there's a risk of unforeseen consequences of established science contradicting itself in any discipline in the future. we have oodles of established data about the rate of gravity on Earth, which could change tomorrow -- it's vastly unlikely but still a possibility. so i suppose you're technically right. that's the thing with inductive reasoning and the scientific method: there's always the logical possibility of contradictory data.
the idea that we will suddenly wake up in 2035 and discover we've all been injected with a biological 'doomsday' device because of mRNA's overlooked lethality, er, when it's merely a protein that instructs our immune system to produce an antibody ... well, let's just say i'm hedging my bets with the world virology community who have had their eyes trained on this topic for the last 15 years. what's your qualification for all this hedging and doubt again? oh, right, yeah,
generalised mistrust. great stuff.
as an engineer talking about the 'risks' associated with the vaccines, you must surely know that the 'risks' associated with catching the disease are 100x worse in almost every single category ("vaccines can cause heart inflammation!" yes, as can covid, and does so in 10x more cases). you presumably also know the 'risks' in dicking around with target pistols at shooting ranges; of getting behind the wheel to drive a car; of going out in rain and thunderstorms; etc, etc, etc. even with regards to biology and medicine, you KNOW THE RISKS when you consume alcohol; when you take an aspirin; when you fail to work-out and get cardio exercise every week; you know the risks when you accept life-saving cancer treatments; you know the risks when you accept interventionist surgeries, etc. so why are you insisting the whole world adopts an absolutely margin-free, zero-risk strategy towards vaccination?
what are the 'risks' of covid escaping from quarantine/lockdown measures? what kept happening continuously, in places like new zealand, china and australia with the (much less transmissible) delta variant? was it not the case that the small risk of covid escape kept leading to 'exceptions' and leaks and then undoing weeks/months of work, costing billions to the economy and immeasurable human misery? but hmm, yeah, let's substitute your preferred type of 'risk' for those other scary-sounding 'risks'.
they are the best tools we have. it is really as simple as that. imperfect? perhaps. much like your proposed imperfect solutions.
the reason this last, most severe and most overwhelming wave of covid has not had catastrophic results, runaway deaths, exponential fatality, etc, is because of vaccines. it's that simple. you keep talking vaguely about 'lots of deaths' with omicron. really? figures needed. deaths in the unvaccinated are less than a fraction of 1 percent.
countries like korea, which have always exercised a maximum of caution and been applauded as a case-study by the world epidemiological community, have read the data on omicron and continued to
relax their restrictions despite having their highest ever caseload by an order of magnitude. for the history of this pandemic it caused national shock and panic if their case load went above 1000+ a day. now they're at 100,000 a day and continuing to reopen apace. why would a government that has been a paragon of probity adopt this path now? maybe ... maybe dilbert doesn't know best?
Last edited by uziq (2022-02-21 04:25:14)